Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0 Author-Name: Cristian Altavilla Author-Name: Marcia Miranda Soares Title: Federalismo fiscal y desigualdad social en Argentina y Brasil Abstract: Resumen:El trabajo analiza en clave comparada el federalismo fiscal en Argentina y en Brasil desde la perspectiva de disminución de la desigualdad social. El artículo realiza una revisión de la literatura especializada y efectúa un análisis sobre la legislación y los datos fiscales para investigar cómo se estructura la tributación, las transferencias intergubernamentales, los gastos sociales y el endeudamiento público. La conclusión es que los dos países presentan un alto grado de centralización fiscal, lo que propiciaría al gobierno central minimizar las desigualdades sociales. Pero también presentan problemas en el desempeño de la función redistributiva: regresividad de los tributos, baja capacidad de ecualización de las transferencias intergubernamentales, alta inestabilidad económica y endeudamiento público. Se puede observar que el federalismo fiscal brasilero ha logrado ciertos avances en el direccionamiento de los recursos para las políticas sociales y en el control del endeudamiento público, mientras el federalismo argentino aún no ha logrado avanzar en esta dirección. Abstract: This paper analysis in comparative perspective fiscal federalism in Argentina and Brazil from the perspective of social inequality. In doing so, the article reviews the specialized literature and analyses legislation and fiscal data in order to investigate about the taxation structure, intergovernmental transfer systems, the social expenditure and public debt. A central aspect of the variability of federalism is the fiscal dimension, which has important effects on social inequalities. The way in which taxation, intergovernmental fiscal transfers, social expenditures and public indebtedness are structured is crucial in defining subnational autonomy and intergovernmental relations. Social inequalities are sensitive to this aspect, since the financing of universal social policies depends on the way in which public resources are collected, distributed and invested by levels of government. This paper shares the perspective of the variability of federalism and, therefore, of its effects between countries, placing itself in the field of fiscal federalism. Its objective is to present and compare the effects of taxation, transfers, social expenditures and public indebtedness in reducing the marked social inequalities present in the two countries that are the object of this research: Argentina and Brazil. The hypothesis is that federal experiences favor universal and fair social policies when taxation is progressive and the central government concentrates power to define social expenditures, acting inductively and redistributively to promote greater territorial and social equity among the citizens. In other words, fiscal centralization, understood here as the central government's power to regulate and spend, is a condition for promoting more egalitarian social policies throughout the national territory. Argentine and Brazilian federations have been chosen because they represent the most genuine federations today in Latin American region and because they share the condition of realities marked by territorial socioeconomic inequalities. Argentina is one of the federations with the greatest horizontal asymmetry among its units in practically all socioeconomic indicators, highlighting the disparities between the richest provinces of the central-Pampas region and the poorest provinces of the Northeast and Northwest. Brazil is also paradigmatic in this regard, since in 2017 it was among the countries with the highest wealth and with the highest social inequality in the world, with a clear contrast between states and municipalities in poorer regions, such as the North and Northeast, and more developed regions, such as Center-West, South and Southeast. Both countries also have similar aspects in terms of fiscal federalism, specifically in terms of centralization, although with important differences in relation to the promotion of territorial equity. In the context of these countries, fiscal federalism may or may not contribute to correcting inequalities. Based on this, then, the following research questions arise: how is fiscal federalism structured in these two countries? What are the potentialities and challenges that fiscal federalism presents in reducing social inequalities? Which of these countries has the most favorable institutional conditions to combat social inequalities? These are the basic questions that animate this work and to answer them, the methodology adopted was the review of the specialized bibliography on fiscal federalism in both countries, analysis of documents, legislation and government data on collection, taxes distribution, social expenditures and public indebtedness. The work, therefore, has a rather exploratory, essayistic and comparative character, since it seeks to present and relate the information and data on fiscal federalism in Argentina and Brazil in order to analyze and conclude on its equitable effects. The main contribution lies, above all, in the comparison of these two cases of South American federations – a matter that has have received little attention by the literature. The conclusion is that the two federations show fiscal centralization, this allows the central government to minimize social inequalities. However, both countries have too some problems in the performance of the redistributive function: regressive taxes, low equalization capacity of intergovernmental transfers, high economic instability and public indebtedness. The Brazilian fiscal federalism has made more progress in directing resources to social policies and in controlling public indebtedness, since the Argentine federalism has failed to advance in this direction. Regarding the taxation dimension, which has been increasing since 1990 and placed the two countries among those with the highest tax burden in Latin America, we can observe that most of taxation is centralized at the central government and it shows poor quality in progressivity. The challenge then is to promote greater efficiency and well-being beyond the increase in social spending financed with increasing taxation. In order to do so, a fiscal reform that decentralizes income to the provinces, states and municipalities is necessary. In addition, improving social justice requires important changes in the tax base, and it is necessary to increase the share of income and profit, in detriment of taxes on goods and services that compromise larger portions of the income of the poorer families. A second aspect that is similar in the two countries and that poses, at the same time, great challenges, is the low power to correct the fiscal gap between sub-national entities based on constitutional intergovernmental transfers, since in both cases the transfer rules are not very oriented towards correcting inequalities and are highly inclined towards population criteria. A third aspect - which constitutes a great difference between the countries analyzed - is the role of municipalities. In Argentina, local entities collect little, are ignored in intergovernmental transfers and have a small participation in social expenditures. In Brazil, on the contrary, municipalization is a characteristic mark of fiscal decentralization that followed the democratization of the country, with the local entity having a growing participation in the supply of health, education and social assistance services, with an increasing expenditure on social policies. This Brazilian singularity points to challenges of intergovernmental coordination in the management of social policies, something minimized by fiscal centralization, which enables the central government to induce behavior based on legislation and conditional resource transfers. The four aspect related to social spending and takes into account that more spending on social policies does not necessarily means more social equity. It is necessary to define priorities and seek a more equitable offer throughout the national territory, but also among citizens, regardless of their location. A fifth aspect, shared by both cases and with negative effects on spending and social policies, is economic instability and public debt. The two factors combined create difficulties for the sustainability of social expenditures that, in contexts of economic downturn, compete with financial expenses derived from high indebtedness. The strengthening of fiscal responsibility in Brazil and its adoption in Argentina are conditions for greater economic stability and sustainability of social expenditures. Both countries need to define more stable sources of financing for policies such as health and education, making them less susceptible to political and economic contexts. In this sense, an “Emergency Fund” could be a measure to avoid abrupt falls in the financing of social policies. Following these aspect, a general conclusion is that federalism in Argentina and Brazil does not represent obstacles for the expansion of redistributive social policies because their institutional design is configured in such a way that guarantee fiscal power to the national government. In this sense, what was observed in the first decade of 2000 is paradigmatic, when in a favorable economic and political context, there was a considerable expansion of social spending. The situation in Brazil seems more favorable, even though the country presents a much worse social legacy, with marked inequalities. The central government, when it presents a majority coalition of government, can regulate the subnational governments. This made possible progress in regulating the financing of social policies and in controlling public debt. Argentina, with a greater bargaining power of the governors in the National Congress, has difficulties in making decisions that may run counter to sub-national interests. In addition, fiscal federalism has a precarious institutional framework, since it is provisional, does not contain long-term agreements and many times the agreements reached do not achieve effective compliance. Once again, the recommendation is a clearer definition of the financing of social policies, in order to better guarantee their progress over time. Classification-JEL: R1 Keywords: Federalismo fiscal, Desigualdad social, Argentina, Brasil., Fiscal federalism, Social inequality, Brazil. Pages: 121-152 Volume: 3 Year: 2022 File-URL: http://www.revistaestudiosregionales.com/documentos/articulos/pdf-articulo-2639.pdf File-Format: Application/pdf Handle: RePEc:rer:articu:v:3:y:2022:p:121-152